Ceasefire in Ukraine easier to talk about than to apply
During the Riyadh talks, the two sides agreed to normalize diplomatic operations and set the stage for future geopolitical cooperation, as well as economic and investment opportunities following the end of the Ukraine conflict. A path toward achieving a sustainable and mutually acceptable resolution was discussed.
After a failed White House meeting between Trump and Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky, which focused on Zelensky's refusal to pursue diplomacy, US and Ukrainian delegations met again in Riyadh on March 11. Zelensky softened his stance, agreeing to a 30-day ceasefire after the US temporarily halted arms supplies and intelligence sharing. The joint statement from the meeting emphasized the importance of Russian reciprocity for peace, though it raised the question of the timeline for such actions.
The US announced it would lift the pause on intelligence sharing and resume security assistance to Ukraine, which could strengthen Ukraine's military capabilities and put pressure on Russia. The statement also included a commitment to addressing the issue of Ukrainian children in Russian-controlled regions, a topic that the International Criminal Court has used to accuse Putin of war crimes.
On long-term security, the US and Ukrainian delegations agreed to hold further negotiations, though the specifics remain unclear. Trump has rejected the idea of Ukraine joining NATO or receiving direct security guarantees from the US, fearing it could lead to direct conflict with Russia. Instead, Trump advocates for a deal centered around Ukraine's mineral resources to ensure its security. Meanwhile, Ukraine seeks European involvement in the peace process as a counterbalance to US pressure.
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